Side 2 - Binær logistisk regression - hjælp??!!

#19 Det er i høj grad mulig at jeg har misforstået dig. #15 er næsten udelukkende en række symboler, som ikke er forklaret, hvorfor den er ret ulæselig. Du fremhæver at det er 0-1 variable. Det behøver ikke at være tilfældet.

Selvfølgelig kan man bruge en model, til noget andet end det den er udviklede til; men det er noget amatører skal holde sig fra. Det kan fører til både misforståelser, problemer med at tolke resultaterne og problemer med forudsætningerne.

#20

Opret en variabel for hver landsby. Den sætter du til 1 hvis data er for landsbyen og 0, hvis de ikke er fra landsbyen.

 Tak :-) !

Det VAR nu faldet mig ind at lave en variabel for hver by, men det er besværligt, og så kan man ikke "loade" alle de 8 byer ind i modellen samtidig - så får man en besked, der hedder "data error". 

Nå, det er nu ikke så vigtigt. Hvad der er langt værre er, at jeg har lavet nedenstående model (jeg er blevet lidt bedre til at estimere goodness of fit vha. adjusted R), og der er et stort problem med en af koefficienterne - Income Quartile er POSITIVT korrelateret med den afhængige variabel (Unhappy with rules), fordi folk i den højeste indkomstklasse (fjerde kvartil) er mest utilfredse med reglerne og folk i den laveste indkomstklasse (første indkomstkvartil) er mindst utilfredse (og tilsvarende i 2. og 3. kvartil). MEN.. "Total Net income", husstandens samlede indkomst (en kontinuerlig variabel, som kvartilerne naturligvis er direkte baserede på), har en NEGATIV koefficient???? Det kan umuligt passe. Når de rigeste er mest utilfredse, og de fattigste er mindst utilfredse (ja, det er en dejlig konklusion for en gang skyld, men det skyldes nok noget andet :-), så kan koefficienten for indkomst da ikke være negativ???

Jeg har læst nogle steder, at man ikke altid kan "stole" på koefficientens fortegn? Passer det?

Dbh. 

 ........ her kommer modellen:

<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Model 143: Logit, using observations 1-319</o:p>

<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Dependent variable: Unhappy1stRules</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <table class="MsoNormalTable" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;mso-padding-alt: 0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt"> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">Coefficient</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">Std. Error</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">z</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">p-value</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">const</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-3.31101</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.558877</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-5.9244</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""><0.00001</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">LandFarmed</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.0674525</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.0350655</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.9236</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.05440</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">TotalNetInc</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-9.80434e-07</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">3.84393e-07</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.5506</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.01075</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">IncQuartile</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.800558</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.239546</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">3.3420</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.00083</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">HarvestNTFPs</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.07881</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.494304</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">2.1825</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.02907</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">IncDECL_PFM</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.96314</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.627165</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.5357</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.12461</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Make1stPFMrules</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.56831</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.604974</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.5924</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.00953</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Iringa_Region</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.591666</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.353816</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.6722</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.09448</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Pwani_Region</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.09556</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.662427</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.6539</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.09816</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">PFMForestDegrad</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.683969</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.472656</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.4471</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.14788</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <table class="MsoNormalTable" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;mso-padding-alt: 0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt"> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Mean dependent var</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.191223</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">S.D. dependent var</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.113517</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">McFadden R-squared</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.136793</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Adjusted R-squared</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.072554</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Log-likelihood</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-134.3746</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Akaike criterion</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 288.7492</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Schwarz criterion</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 326.4011</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Hannan-Quinn</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 303.7860</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Number of cases 'correctly predicted' = 262 (82.1%)</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">f(beta'x) at mean of independent vars = 0.114</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Likelihood ratio test: Chi-square(9) = 42.5889 [0.0000]</o:p>

 </o:p>

 Koefficienten til TotalNetInc er meget meget lille så den kan du betraget som 0. 

Det kan skyldes, at der er en korrelation med en eller flere af de andre variable. Eller sagt på mere forståeligt dansk. Indkomsten hænger sammen med en af de andre variable og det har betydet at denne(disse) variable har snuppet noget fra indkomstvariablen. For at tage et eksempel hvis indkomsten er proportional med hyttehøjden og begge indgår som variable, kan man flytte rundt mellem de pågældende parametre uden at nyttefunktionen ændres overhovedet. Det samme gælder hvis der er en mere kompliceret sammenhæng mellem indkomst og højde.

Tak, det var en stor hjælp :-) !!!

Jeg troede, at p-værdien betød, at den var "signifikant" og derfor ikke kunne "ignoreres". Jeg er glad for, at jeg gerne må overse den. Og ja, der er naturligvis mange sammenhænge på kryds og kværs og imellem variable, der gør analyserne "mudrede" (sociale data er vanvittigt frustrerende!) 

Tak igen!!

 Det gik lige op for mig at dit z output er t-værdier, altså koefficient / std. error. Det er altså ikke som jeg først gættede på middelværdier på variablene. Derfor bliver vi nødt til at kende dine middelværdier for at vide hvor stor koefficienten er i praksis. Hvad er middelværdien på din TotalNetInc?

Er den for eksempel 100.000 kan du se at bidraget til din endogene sandsynlighed bliver:

100.000 * -9.80434e-07 = - 9.8 %, som jo er ret meget og det kan du ikke se bort fra. Er den derimod målt i tusinde får du istedet:

100 * -9.80434e-07         = - 9.8 % / 1000, som i praksis er meget lidt og derfor kan ses bort fra. 

 Det skal lige nævnes at du så finder det præcise bidrag ved at kigge på forskellen:

1 / ( 1 + exp(-9.8%)) - 1 / ( 1 + exp(0) ) = 2.5 %

Om indkomsten giver et stort bidrag er også afhængig af hvor stor talværdien af indkomsten er i forhold til de andre variable. Hvis der for parametre * variabelværdier stadig gælder at resultatet for indkomst er lille i sammenligning med de andre variabel er betydningen af det i praksis også lille. Der bliver så "kun" et forståelsesproblem. Fortegnet er stadig forkert, hvilket tyder på at der er noget galt med modellen.

 Hm..... det er ikke så godt. For TotalNetInc er gennemsnittet 1,017,900 og medianværdien 478,370 (du må undskylde, at jeg er mest vant til engelsk, så derfor ikke helt sikkert på "middelværdi"). Men det er jo store tal. Det havde jeg nok på fornemmelsen, da jeg oprindelig lavede modellen med en variabel, der var en log af total net income, og dermed fik en (negativ) koefficient på -3.3 ! 

Men, som sagt, det kan jo ikke passe, at indkomstkvartaler bidrager positivt og indkomst bidrager negativt. Det giver jo ikke mening..

Tak :-) ! 

 ..... Ja, Peter, der er helt sikkert noget galt med modellen :-S ! 

mean på engelsk betyder middelværdi. Median er det sted hvor der er lige mange observationer på begge sider af stedet.

Jeg har kigget lidt på dine parametre. Mange af navnene siger mig ikke noget; men jeg gætter på at LandFarmed er hvor stort et stykke land den pågældende familie har under plov. Jeg kunne tænke mig, at der er en meget høj korrelation mellem denne variabel og indkomsten. Hvis det er tilfældet bør du droppe en af disse variable fra modellen.

Nej - det er så et stort bidrag, 23 % evalueret i gennemsnittet. Det er svært at forklare, ja. 

Generelt bør du nok i øvrigt have din model i logaritmer.
For at se det tænk over forskellen du ville forvente i ssh fra at øge indkomst fra 100.000 til 200.000 Dkr. og fra 1.000.000 til 1.100.000 Dkr. Man vil forvente mere i forskel i sandsynlighed i det første tilfælde hvor man øger indkomsten med 100 % end i det andet hvor man øger indkomsten med 10%, ikke? Med logaritmer får du præcis sådan en sammenhæng, idet forskelle i logaritmer approksimativt er procenter. I niveauer (i DKr direkte) får du præcis den samme forventede effekt uanset dit udgangspunkt. Altså at den procentvise ændring ingenting betyder for bidraget til ssh.

En forklaring på dit problem kan være at din model ikke er 'identificeret'. Hvis to variable faktisk er 'den samme' variabel kan man ikke matematisk kende forskel på deres parametre. Kig for eksempel på modellen hvor man førsøger at forklare y ved x:

y = x * a  +  x * b, hvor a og b er parametre. 

Så længe a =  -b her kan vi sætte dem begge til uendeligt store tal og få sammenhængen y = 0. 

Når du har både indkomstkvartiler og indkomst med er det muligt at du har lavet en lignende fejl. Måske er det i virkeligheden sådan at hverken indkomstkvartiler eller indkomst har nogen effekt, men at de får en (omtrent) lige stor modsatrettet effekt fordi parametrene til dem ikke er identificerede. Det er svært at tjekke, da man ikke bare kan kigge på gennemsnittet. Men overvej at fjerne den ene af serierne.   

En anden årsag kan være at du har lavet en slags polynomium med dit variabelvalg. Netop siden du ikke har lavet logaritme transformation vil data sikkert passe fint til en slags polynomium af indkomsten. For eksempel:

y =a  * indkomsten + b * indkomsten ^ 2

Du har selvfølgelig ikke et andengradspolynomium  men du har en indkomsten i niveau og indkomsten transformeret (i kvartiler). På den måde har du altså en meget indviklet funktion af indkomsten stående i din model. 

# 29 Jeg er ikke enig. Da man aldrig estimere præcist et '0' vil man altid finde et '0' som en meget lille positiv eller negativ koefficient. Derfor er fortegnet ligegyldigt når koefficienten er praktisk lille. 
Samtidig er størrelsen på andre variable irrelevant.

#33 Du har ikke forstået hvad jeg skriver. Hvis parameteren ganget med variabelværdi er variablens virkning på resultatet lille(hvad jeg rent faktisk også skriver). Derimod kan det, at den er forkert, betyde at der er noget galt med modellen. Hvis der er noget galt med modellen er det absolut ikke uvigtigt.

 # 34 Jo, jeg har forstået. Sagen er bare hvis parameteren ganget med variablens værdi er lille, så er parameteren faktisk 0. Derfor har parameterens fortegn ingen betydning og det har ingen mening at sige modellen er dårlig fordi parameteren har det 'forkerte' fortegn. 

Hm. så meget har jeg forstået, at den "interne" korrelation imellem mine variabler kan være et generelt problem. Mange variabler er i høj grad internt afhængige (selv, hvis det ikke er statistisk signifikant). Ja, hvor meget land, man har under plov er f.eks. nært relateret til indkomst. 

Jeg lavede en ny model, hvor jeg udelod landejerskab og indkomstkvartiler og brugte log af indkomst. Her fik jeg den forventede effekt af indkomsten (positiv)..

<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Model 19: Logit, using observations 1-319 (n = 318)</o:p>

<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Missing or incomplete observations dropped: 1</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Dependent variable: Unhappy1stRules</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <table class="MsoNormalTable" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;mso-padding-alt: 0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt"> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">Coefficient</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">Std. Error</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">z</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">p-value</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">const</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-3.91588</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.61926</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.4183</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.01559</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">OnlyPFMforest</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.63925</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.335091</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.9077</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.05643</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Pwani_Region</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.65146</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.640876</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.5769</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.00997</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">LnTotalInc</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.370071</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.278731</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.3277</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.18428</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">HarvestNTFPs</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.003</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.471259</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">2.1283</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.03331</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">PFMForestDegrad</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.890538</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.451565</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.9721</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.04860</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Make1stPFMrules</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.50248</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.587736</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.5564</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.01058</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">IncDECL_PFM</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.03098</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.602739</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.7105</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.08718</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <table class="MsoNormalTable" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;mso-padding-alt: 0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt"> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Mean dependent var</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.191824</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">S.D. dependent var</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.137982</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">McFadden R-squared</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.087499</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Adjusted R-squared</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.036037</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Log-likelihood</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-141.8542</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Akaike criterion</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 299.7085</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Schwarz criterion</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 329.8049</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Hannan-Quinn</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 311.7292</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Number of cases 'correctly predicted' = 259 (81.4%)</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">f(beta'x) at mean of independent vars = 0.138</o:p>

Likelihood ratio test: Chi-square(7) = 27.2045 [0.0003]</o:p>

 ........ herefter prøvede jeg at erstatte log indkomst med indkomstkvartiler, hvilket gav en bedre (højere) adjusted R og lavere x2 ...

<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Model 25: Logit, using observations 1-319</o:p>

<p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Dependent variable: Unhappy1stRules</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <table class="MsoNormalTable" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;mso-padding-alt: 0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt"> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">Coefficient</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">Std. Error</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">z</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">p-value</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">const</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.61769</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.473381</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-5.5298</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""><0.00001</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">OnlyPFMforest</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.68403</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.337285</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">2.0280</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.04256</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Pwani_Region</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.75373</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.648012</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.7063</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.00680</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">HarvestNTFPs_6</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.971131</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.476586</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">2.0377</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.04158</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">PFMForestDegrad</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.836664</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.454599</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.8404</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.06570</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Make1stPFMrules</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-1.52646</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.590697</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-2.5842</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.00976</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">***</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">IncDECL_PFM</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.01473</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.608937</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">1.6664</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.09563</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">*</o:p> <td width="97" valign="top" style="width:96.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">IncQuartile</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.299434</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.138155</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">2.1674</o:p> <td width="70" valign="top" style="width:70.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">0.03021</o:p> <td width="25" valign="top" style="width:25.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">**</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <table class="MsoNormalTable" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" style="border-collapse:collapse;mso-table-layout-alt:fixed;mso-padding-alt: 0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt"> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Mean dependent var</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.191223</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">S.D. dependent var</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.135475</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">McFadden R-squared</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.098129</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Adjusted R-squared</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 0.046738</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Log-likelihood</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman"">-140.3935</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Akaike criterion</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 296.7870</o:p> <td width="127" valign="top" style="width:126.5pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Schwarz criterion</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 326.9085</o:p> <td width="20" valign="top" style="width:20.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> </o:p> <td width="125" valign="top" style="width:125.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" style="mso-pagination:none;mso-layout-grid-align:none; text-autospace:none">Hannan-Quinn</o:p> <td width="65" valign="top" style="width:65.0pt;padding:0cm 1.5pt 0cm 1.5pt; height:13.1pt"> <p class="MsoNormal" align="right" style="text-align:right;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"><span style="font-family: "Times New Roman""> 308.8164</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none"> </o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">Number of cases 'correctly predicted' = 261 (81.8%)</o:p> <p class="MsoNormal" align="center" style="text-align:center;mso-pagination:none; mso-layout-grid-align:none;text-autospace:none">f(beta'x) at mean of independent vars = 0.135</o:p>

Likelihood ratio test: Chi-square(7) = 30.5512 [0.0001]</o:p>